I will consider in two parts what seem to me the short-term and long-term prospects for the Russian economy. I begin with the short term. It is based on the assumption that the shooting war in Ukraine ends within months (that is, that it does not continue at its current intensity for years) and that there are no drastic internal changes in Russia, in the form of a coup, revolution etc.
Russia’s economic prospects: the short-run
I will consider in two parts what seem to me the short-term and long-term prospects for the Russian economy. I begin with the short term. It is based on the assumption that the shooting war in Ukraine ends within months (that is, that it does not continue at its current intensity for years) and that there are no drastic internal changes in Russia, in the form of a coup, revolution etc.
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