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vk's avatar

I didn't live 1968, but my area of research requires me to have at least some undergraduate level of understanding of that era (i.e. the Cold War).

My opinion is that 1968 may be one of the biggest dark holes of History of the 20th Century. There are so many disparate, polar opposite documented opinions on it that making a comprehensive general history of that event is extremely difficult. Besides, there is no centralized, authoritative archive or single source that one historian can rely on to at least build a skeleton of a general history.

The only certainty that we can have on 1968 is that it was a very traumatic, cataclysmic; a watershed event in the history of the First World and the Socialist World (except China). It definitely marked the end of an era and the start of another one. But we don't know what were they exactly.

There must be a single, underlining event -- probably of economic nature -- that caused it to happen practically at the same year, in such vast and diverse territory of the human world. Data points that 1969 was the year capitalism in the USA was at its apex in the sense that it was the last year all the main indicators of capitalist welfare were rising at the same time (that is, the tide was rising all boats). But I don't remember if that was the case in the socialist world (that may be). The problem with this argument is that we know the world's economy started to go bad with the oil crisis of 1974, that is, six years after 1968. Maybe 1974 was brewing since then?

Another glaring feature of 1968 was the fratricide of the Left side of the political spectrum, which started infighting to mutual destruction that year, paving the way for the reunification and later rise of the Right side of the political spectrum. The USA is the easiest case to explain: the Old Left, led by the AFL-CIO itself, supported the continuation of the Vietnam War until the very end; the result of this was the rise of the New Left, which is the Left we have in the USA to this day. It is possible that this disaster is the main reason the American people hate unions.

In the socialist world, it seems that socialism degenerated into some kind of humanist socialism, preached by the likes of Gorbachev. What's striking about Gorbachev is that, since day 1, it was clear he was a complete loser in terms of economic results. Except that Stravopol experiment, which he himself admitted was just due to it being a test, which meant the USSR redirected the resources so it could be successful by design, Gorbachev's career was littered by absolute lack of results. There was absolutely no evidence his “humanist socialism” could work, and his career ascension was meteoric either way. Even more astonishingly, with every failure of his ideology, he doubled down on his critique of the Soviet system -- he blamed absolutely everyone but himself (indeed, he blamed the Russian people for the failure of his Perestroika at the very end of the USSR). This process of imbecilization (intellectual decline) must be a case to be studied by future historians, and it certainly started with the generation who graduated in Moscow circa 1968.

Let's talk about the “other”: the Third World. Well, seeing they essentially started to suffer a series of military coups and liberal (right-wing) dictatorships -- not to talk about Vietnam, which had millions dead in a brutal war of annihilation -- all I can say is that it was the peoples of the Third World who footed the bill for 1968.

Last but not least, we must talk about the only one truly unaffected great part of the world: China. Here we can only talk in exclusion: coincidence or not, all the parts of the globe were tied by destiny by 1968. Every one of them went to shit after 1991 in hindsight (at the time, the USA definitely thought it had become a 1,000-year Empire). China, it seems, escaped the curse of 1968.

P.S.: I don't think 1968 was a revolution or a series of revolutions. I think “reformation” is the more appropriate term. But, as a historian, I must respect the terms chosen by the people who were contemporary, who lived the event. If for them it was a revolution, a revolution it is from a historical point of view.

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A F's avatar

I think 1968 is not as much much about revolution, as about the usual generational change. Do you think that without the events of 1968 there would be no described developments in social or cultural institutions?

In my opinion, it was something inevitable since the post-WW2 generation had been raised in completely different sociocultural conditions and perspectives, which coplitelty differed with these of their fathers. In this case the 1968 was just one of possible manifeststions of this long duree proccess.

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